In his article in the Washington Post, former Swedish Prime Minister Karl Bildt asked how important the US elections are to world leaders this time, and why are they always watching closely?
Bildt said that the world has a clear interest in the upcoming US presidential elections, and even in the midst of a devastating epidemic like Corona, the possibility of dealing with a re-elected and daring president like Donald Trump already generates a lot of fear and uncertainty.
In Europe, the prospect of Trump remaining 4 more years is striking many political leaders and businessmen with real horror, as transatlantic ties on issues such as trade, security and environmental policy have barely held up for these four years.
Trump the victor
And the writer went on to say that although a dangerous trade war across the Atlantic has been avoided so far, this time victorious Trump may wish to double his declared threat to reduce the number of German cars on the streets of New York, and he may wish to open new trade conflicts with the European Union, which sometimes appears to be He sees it as a more hostile trading partner than China.
He noted that any possibility of the United States and Europe working together to reform the World Trade Organization to strike a balance with China would diminish very quickly.
The writer added that there is the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), about which former Trump National Security Adviser John Bolton said in a recent interview that there is a “very real danger” that the United States will withdraw from the alliance if Trump wins a second term.
Nevertheless, Bildt indicated that some see potential advantages in Trump’s re-election, including that Paris will want to continue pushing it toward “strategic autonomy” for Europe, while London will be comfortable staying in the shadow of an influential supporter of Brexit.
Some in Warsaw and Budapest are not looking to return words like rule of law to the vocabulary of the White House, but – according to his political experience – Bildt believes that the presidency of Joe Biden will surely satisfy everyone’s deep satisfaction.
As for Russian President Vladimir Putin, there is no doubt that he would prefer Trump, but despite the US president’s weakness towards him, the relationship between the United States and Russia has been clearly deteriorating over the past four years, and the Biden presidency, which strengthens alliances and supports Ukraine and speaks openly about human rights, is Certainly something the Kremlin can do without.
The writer stated that China may expect a somewhat hostile relationship under Trump or Biden, but in the end, Chinese President Xi Jinping may be more comfortable with Trump, who can outpace him privately on some key issues and his lack of leadership to rally a united front. Against Beijing.
On trade, Trump has shown that in the end it can be bought little, and while Congress may want to be more forthcoming about China’s many human rights violations, it is unlikely that Trump will complain about it.
As for Tehran, opinions are likely divided, as there is a reform wing that wants to return to negotiations with the United States and the Europeans to avoid further escalation of tensions, but there are also more conservative forces that have been on the rise recently, and for them Trump is strong evidence that they have been right throughout Time is about the sinister and unreliable nature of the United States, and his reelection will solidify its position in power.
In New Delhi, Prime Minister Narendra Modi is clearly comfortable with Trump and his style, but his administration can see the Biden presidency as a continuation of the strengthening of ties between the two countries.
The writer believes that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has a personal attraction to Trump, even as he continues to challenge the United States and the world by continuing to develop his nuclear program.
Bildt concluded his article that “authoritarian rulers, prime ministers, presidents and the rest of the world are unfortunately forced to stand by and watch, and the matter is not in our hands even if it affects us directly or indirectly.”